While I think it is too early to determine how many PS3's Sony will sell within the next year, I very much agree with the points about the PS1 and PS2. I've actually felt this way for quite some time.Originally Posted by that hyperlink above
I mean, really, a big part of why PS1 gained an audience and grew to become as huge as it did was because of Nintendo and Sega's mistakes. Nintendo making N64 cartridge base was a bad move, and Saturn was very hard to program for.
But, really, for the era, PS1 was adequate at best. It's just that since that generation of systems was the first 3D batch, thus making everything seem new and fresh in that regard, and since the competition made some stupid moves, Sony's system, which was really nothing special for the time (it was only perceived that way by consumers), show up to #1. It's kind of like someone running in a race against the person who has been timed as being the fastest runner in the world, and winning because the record-setting runner is not anywhere close to being at the top of his game due to recovering from an injury, but none the less this new person is suddenly 'perceived' as beating the fastest runner, and therefore rises to fame as a result.
Then, when it came time for PS2, they came out before the competition (well, except Sega Dreamcast, who at this point was struggling to regain an audience after their previous blunders and failed), it had a DVD player built in, AND it was offered at the same price that the PS1 went for at launch (thus making it seem like a good deal even for those who just didn't care about DVD at the time). It simply was riding off of the momentum of PS1, and it went from there. It's main competition was Microsoft, who was knew to the console business, leaving consumers skeptical, and Nintendo, who was still trying to recover from their mistakes of their last system, and who kind of messed up again with those mini-discs.
This may well be the downfall of Sony coming up. I think they would have done better if they had actually put less stuff into the PS3, put it out at a more competitive price, and just continued to ride their existing momentum. But, their arrogance just may get the better of them this time around.